One X post (archived) pointed to supposed similarities between the film and Kirk's shooting death, including that the movie featured a political figure named Charles Kirkland who was shot in the neck at a public event, that a character involved in the plot had a name similar to that of the man charged in Kirk's killing and that the date of the fictional assassination supposedly matched that of Kirk's assassination.
(X user @MattForVA)
Similar theories spread spread on social media platforms including Reddit,
But there was no tangible evidence the film "Snake Eyes" predicted Kirk's assassination on Sept. 10, 2025. While the movie included some similarities to Kirk's killing, such as a character named Charles Kirkland being shot in the neck, key details remained significantly different. For instance, the movie's fictional assassination took place on Sept. 19, not Sept. 10, as some claimed. There was also no evidence that Tyler Robinson, the man charged in Kirk's killing, was inspired by the film, as some social media posts suggested.
What's similar and what's different
Some of the speculation about "Snake Eyes" was based on real parallels between the film and the killing of Kirk. For instance, in the movie, the victim's name, Charles Kirkland, resembled Kirk's. Like Kirk, Kirkland is shot in the neck. Additionally, one of the characters involved in the conspiracy is a boxer named Lincoln Tyler. Some users pointed out that the character's last name was the same as the first name the man charged in Kirk's killing.
Some social media users also pointed to a fictional Hurricane Jezebel mentioned in the film, drawing a connection to the website Jezebel, which published a satirical article about paying witches to curse Kirk two days before Kirk's assassination. As with other supposed parallels, this connection appeared to be purely coincidental.
In another example, multiple posts claimed the assassination in the movie occurred on Sept. 10, the same day as Kirk's death in 2025. However, that was inaccurate. The movie included a poster showing the date "September 19th," not "September 10th":
(YouTube user @jazzblueszeitgeist7304)
The confusion may have stemmed from the poor video quality of versions of the movie available online, in which the number "19" could appear distorted or resemble "10." Additionally, the poster in the film listed the event time as 10 p.m. Eastern time, whereas Kirk's assassination occurred at 12:23 p.m. Mountain time (2:23 p.m. Eastern).
Another difference was that the Kirkland character was the U.S. secretary of defense in the film, while Kirk was a political commentator with no government position. Additionally, the fictional shooting happened during a boxing match, not in a setting similar to Kirk's assassination, which occurred at an outdoor event on a university campus.
In the film, the investigation revealed a coordinated conspiracy involving multiple people in the plot to assassinate Kirkland. In contrast, prosecutors have charged Robinson as the sole defendant in Kirk's killing, and we found no public evidence that authorities tied the case to a broader conspiracy resembling the plot of "Snake Eyes." As of early May 2026, the case remained in pretrial proceedings.
Some posts also noted that the filmmakers shot parts of the movie at "Trump's hotel," an apparent reference to the Trump Taj Mahal in Atlantic City. Although filming location listings did identify the property as one of the movie's filming sites, that detail does not show the movie predicted Kirk's killing or influenced Robinson.
All in all, it's true that the movie "Snake Eyes" includes a character named Charles Kirkland who is shot in the neck, similar to how Charlie Kirk was killed, and that a character involved in the film's central murder shares part of his name with the man charged in the Kirk killing. However, social media posts exaggerated the connection by falsely claiming the film's assassination took place on Sept. 10 (it was actually Sept. 19) and by ignoring other differences in the plot.
Finally, there was no evidence that the man charged in Kirk's killing was inspired by, or even aware of, the movie "Snake Eyes." Law enforcement sources have not referenced the film in their investigation, and no manifestos, statements or materials connecting Robinson to the movie have been reported as of this writing. An alleged letter Robinson left for his partner, described in warrant materials reported in April 2026, did not mention "Snake Eyes" or suggest the movie inspired the killing.
We've investigated numerous alleged predictions in the past. For instance, in July 2025 we looked at claims that animated show "The Simpsons" predicted a scandal in which a kiss cam at a Coldplay concert allegedly caught a tech CEO cheating with another company official.